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Publications

Arkell, P. et al. (2026) “Sero-catalytic and spatial modeling of dengue virus force of infection in Timor-Leste”, Nature Communications [Preprint].
Stapley, J. et al. (2026) “Evaluating the impact of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis for health-care workers during ebolavirus outbreaks: a modelling study”, Lancet Infectious Diseases [Preprint].
Kim, Y., Mills, C. and Donnelly, C. (2026) “Cross-border travel patterns affect magnitude estimates for the Ebola Bundibugyo epidemic”, Nature Health [Preprint].
Steyn, N. et al. (2026) “A decision-theoretic framework for uncertainty quantification in epidemiological modelling”, American Journal of Epidemiology [Preprint].
Steyn, N. et al. (2026) “A decision-theoretic framework for uncertainty quantification in epidemiological modelling”, American Journal of Epidemiology, p. kwag154.
Stapley, J. et al. (2026) “Evaluating the impact of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis for health-care workers during ebolavirus outbreaks: a modelling study”, medRxiv.
Jewson, J., Smith, J. and Holmes, C. (2026) “On the Stability of General Bayesian Inference”, Bayesian Analysis, 21(2), pp. 725–755.
Kim, Y. and Donnelly, C. (2026) “Estimating the potential burden of clinically significant hantavirus cases in Argentina”, Lancet Regional Health Europe [Preprint].
Alrefae, T. et al. (2026) “A Bayesian modelling framework for inference of latent infection risk patterns from virus neutralisation assay titration data”, bioRxiv.
Kilian, V., Cortinovis, S. and Caron, F. (2026) “Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, prediction-powered inference”, in. Neural Information Processing Systems Foundation.