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Publications

Mills, C. et al. (2026) “Multi-scale measures of time-varying epidemic spread on human mobility networks”, arXiv.
Kim, Y., Mills, C. and Donnelly, C. (2026) “Cross-border travel patterns affect magnitude estimates for the Ebola Bundibugyo epidemic”, Nature Health [Preprint].
Steyn, N. et al. (2026) “A decision-theoretic framework for uncertainty quantification in epidemiological modelling”, American Journal of Epidemiology [Preprint].
Steyn, N. et al. (2026) “A decision-theoretic framework for uncertainty quantification in epidemiological modelling”, American Journal of Epidemiology, pp. kwag154 - kwag154-.
Stapley, J. et al. (2026) “Evaluating the impact of antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis for health-care workers during ebolavirus outbreaks: a modelling study”, medRxiv.
Kim, Y. and Donnelly, C. (2026) “Estimating the potential burden of clinically significant hantavirus cases in Argentina”, Lancet Regional Health Europe [Preprint].
Jewson, J., Smith, J. and Holmes, C. (2026) “On the Stability of General Bayesian Inference”, Bayesian Analysis, 21(2), pp. 725–755.
Alrefae, T. et al. (2026) “A Bayesian modelling framework for inference of latent infection risk patterns from virus neutralisation assay titration data”, bioRxiv.
Clerico, E. et al. (2026) “Time-sensitive anytime-valid testing”, arXiv.
Guizar-Coutiño, A. et al. (2026) “Unobserved confounders cannot explain over-crediting in avoided deforestation carbon projects”, Nature Ecology & Evolution, pp. 1–11.