Part B Statistical Lifetime Models

BS3b/OBS3b, Hilary Term 2014

• Lecturer: James Martin (email martin (at) stats.ox.ac.uk)
• Class tutors: David Steinsaltz, James Martin
• Teaching assistants: Eleonora Kreačič, Franz Rembart, Fiona Skerman

Timetable

• Lectures: HT 2014 weeks 1-8: Thursday 3pm and Friday 3pm in Lecture Room 2 (Maths Institute)
• Classes: weeks 3-6, week 8, and the last class at the beginning of Trinity term.

  *** UPDATE *** : See here for the class allocations for the last set of classes, which will be on Friday of week 0 and Tuesday of week 1. All these classes will be in the Seminar Room, Department of Statistics, 1 South Parks Road (work to be handed in to the Maths Institute pigeonholes in the normal way). If you are not on this list and need to sign up, or if you need to change your time for some reason, get in touch with me by email.

• Trinity term revision:
  • Monday week 3, 2.15-3.45pm, Seminar Room, 1 South Parks Road: Consultation session. (These are "office hours"; come with any queries etc - I will not make a presentation).
  • Monday week 4, 2pm, Lecture Room, 1 South Parks Road: Revision lecture. I will cover the 2012 exam paper, and also bits of the 2013 questions as far as time permits. (Or email me if there are particular other things you would like me to cover).
  • Tuesday week 5, 2pm-3.30pm, Seminar room, 1 South Parks Road: Consultation session.

Example sheets

• Example sheet 1. Solutions 1
• Example sheet 2. Solutions 2
  • Stanford Heart Transplant Program data for question 2.
• Example sheet 3. Solutions 3
• Example sheet 4. Solutions 4
• Example sheet 5. Solutions 5
• Example sheet 6 (classes in week 0 or week 1 of Hilary Term). Solutions 6

Material from lectures

Lecture 1:
Slides
Edmund Halley, An Estimate of the Degrees of the Mortality of Mankind , Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, vol. 17, 1693.
George Louis Leclerc de Buffon, Essai d'arithmetique morale , 1777.
Gregory M. Erickson, Philip J. Currie, Brian D. Inouye and Alice A. Winn, Tyrannosaur Life Tables: An Example of Nonavian Dinosaur Population Biology, Science vol. 313, pp. 213-217, 2006.

Lecture 3: Slides , Example life table

Lecture 4: Slides

Lecture 5: ONS life expectancy report

Lecture 6: Slides

Lectures 7-8: Slides

Lecture 10: Notes on the cohabitation example.
Kathleen Kiernan, The rise of cohabitation and childbearing outside marriage in Western Europe, International Journal of Law, Policy and the Family vol. 15, pp. 1-21, 2001.

Lecture 12: Slides

Lecture 16: Slides